How Many Active Cases Are There in Rockland County?

Three new cases were just reported in the Rockland County measles outbreak, pushing the total count to 161 cases in an outbreak that has been going on since September of 2018.

These are record breaking numbers.

Misleading? Fear mongering? Isn't that ironic???
Misleading? Fear mongering? Isn’t that ironic???

So of course, it’s time to move the goalposts!

How Many Active Cases Are There in Rockland County?

The number of active cases in an outbreak is an important number.

It’s a sign that the outbreak is under poor control.

For example, there were 45 new cases of measles in Brooklyn this week, following reports of 33 new cases the previous week. In fact, in the past 21 days, the case count in Brooklyn went from 158 to 259, which likely means that there have been over 100 active measles cases in Brooklyn during that time.

What about Rockland County?

In the past three weeks, the case count in Rockland County has increased by 16.

Why is three weeks an important number?

Because that’s how long it takes to develop symptoms after they have been exposed to someone with measles.

The problem in Rockland County, as Ed Day said in his press conference, is that people hadn’t been cooperating with the health department. So it is hard to actually know how many active cases there are. Is it five cases, as someone at the health department recently told an anti-vaccine women impersonating a caller who was concerned about her infant?

If so, that’s five cases too many!

The most important thing to understand, is that as we continue to see new cases, there is no sign that the outbreaks are stopping.

And the only numbers that really matter are ZERO new cases for 42 days.

That’s when the outbreaks will be declared over.

Let’s hope that we get there before we are talking about a new number, someone dying with measles.

More on Active Cases in Rockland County


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